Preview

Communicology

Advanced search

Forecasts of regional labor markets development in the narratives of specialists of employment centers of the Rostov Region and the reunified territories of the Russian Federation

https://doi.org/10/21453/2311-3085-2025013-3-130-140

Abstract

Forecasts of the development of employment trends, employment of potential labor, and migration flows are currently of particular interest in light of the large-scale initiatives undertaken by the state as part of the new national project «Personnel». In the context of insufficient completeness of statistical information related to the objective difficulties of determining the total population, its gender and age structure, the number of economically active population, and information about the economic activities of economic entities in the territories of the reunified regions, the expert opinion of specialists from the employment centers of the Rostov Region as an integration hub and the reunified territories of the Russian Federation is of scientific value. The article presents the results of an expert survey conducted by specialists from employment centers in the Rostov Region, the Donetsk and Lugansk People’s Republics, and the Zaporizhzhia and Kherson Regions. The author team conducted a content analysis of the experts’ responses to open-ended questions on the development of regional labor markets over a five-year period. The analysis of the narratives revealed key expectations, concerns, and trends that will shape the regional labor and migration landscape. 

About the Authors

Ya. G. Zinchenko
South-Russian Institute of Management of Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Russian Federation

Zinchenko Yaroslava Gennadievna - Candidate of Sciences in Sociology, Head of the Department of Sociology

344002, Rostov-on-Don, Pushkinskaya Street, 70/52-54-56



S. S. Zmiyak
South-Russian Institute of Management of Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Russian Federation

Sergey Sergeevich Zmiyak - Doctor of Economics, Head of the Department of Economic Theory and Entrepreneurship

344002, Rostov-on-Don, Pushkinskaya Street, 70/52-54-56



A. B. Ponamarev
South-Russian Institute of Management of Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Russian Federation

Ponamarev Alexander Borisovich - Candidate of Sciences in Sociology, Associate Professor

344002, Rostov-on-Don, Pushkinskaya Street, 70/52-54-56



A. V. Ponedelkov
South-Russian Institute of Management of Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Russian Federation

Ponedelkov Alexander Vasilyevich - Doctor of Political Sciences and Head of the Department of Political Science and Ethnopolitics 

344002, Rostov-on-Don, Pushkinskaya Street, 70/52-54-56



References

1. Bizin S.V. (2023). Issues of managing healthcare system staffing in the region. Leadership and Management. Vol. 10, No. 4, pp. 1419–1438. (in Rus.)

2. Bobkov V.N., Odintsova E.V., et al. (2023). The impact of precarization on employment quality and living standards of generational groups of the economically active population. Izhevsk: LLC Shelest Publishing House. 104 p. (in Rus.)

3. Chekmarev O.P., Ilves A.L., et al. (2023). Employment and labor shortage in Russia under sanctions pressure: a factor analysis of labor supply. Labor Economics. Vol. 10, No. 4, pp. 475–496. (in Rus.)

4. Kaneva D.A., Tararaeva T.Yu., et al. (2024). The problem of physician shortage in Russian healthcare: causes and solutions (literature review). Current Issues of Healthcare and Medical Statistics. No. 1, pp. 747–767. (in Rus.)

5. Kolesnikova O.A., Maslova E.V., et al. (2023). Personnel shortage in the modern Russian labor market: manifestations, causes, trends, and measures to overcome it. Social and Labor Research. No. 4(53), pp. 179–189. (in Rus.)

6. Leonidova G.V. (2023). Signs of precarization of employment among general education teaching staff: a regional perspective. Problems of Territory’s Development. Vol. 27, No. 6, pp. 157–177. (in Rus.)

7. Mirolyubova T.V., Radionova M.V. (2023). Digital transformation and its impact on the socioeconomic development of Russian regions. Economy of Region. Vol. 19, No. 3, pp. 697–710. (in Rus.)

8. Myslyaeva I.N. (2024). State regulation of social and labor relations in the digital economy. Living Standards of the Population in the Regions of Russia. Vol. 20, No. 1, pp. 27–38. (in Rus.)

9. Novoselsky S.O., Petrushina O.V., et al. (2023). Assessment of the formation and use of regional human capital under global instability. Accounting and Statistics. Vol. 20, No. 4, pp. 60–74. (in Rus.)

10. Pogonyshev V.A., Torikov V.E., et al. (2022). Digital twins in the agro-industrial complex. Modern Trends in the Development of Agricultural Science: Proceedings of the International Scientific and Practical Conference, Bryansk, December 01–02, 2022. Vol. 2, pp. 729–734. Bryansk: Bryansk State Agrarian University. (in Rus.)

11. Pogonyshev V.A., Torikov V.E., et al. (2023). Issues of improving engineering and technological support of the agro-industrial complex under digitalization. Bulletin of Bryansk State Agricultural Academy. No. 3(97), pp. 51–59. (in Rus.)

12. Popov A.V. (2023). The impact of precarization on the living standards and employment situation of Russian youth. Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast. Vol. 16, No. 6, pp. 236–251. (in Rus.)

13. Safiullin M.R., Elshin L.A. (2023). Sanctions pressure on the Russian economy: ways to overcome costs and benefits of confrontation within import substitution. Finance: Theory and Practice. Vol. 27, No. 1, pp. 150–161. (in Rus.)

14. Sheiman I.M., Sazhina S.V. (2018). Human resource policy in healthcare: how to overcome physician shortages. Universe of Russia. Sociology. Ethnology. Vol. 27, No. 3, pp. 130–153. (in Rus.)

15. Simonova M.V., Sankova L.V., et al. (2023). Strategic planning of staffing support for socially significant sectors of the regional economy. Creative Economy. Vol. 17, No. 8, pp. 2815–2838. (in Rus.)

16. Stroev V.V., Blizkiy R.S. (2023). Features of economy digitalization in the context of regional development in Russia. Moscow Economic Journal. Vol. 8, No. 11. (in Rus.)

17. Sychev S.M., Belchenko S.A., et al. (2023). Dynamics of agro-industrial complex development (on the example of Bryansk region – 2022, 2023). Bulletin of Bryansk State Agricultural Academy. No. 1(95), pp. 3–9. (in Rus.)

18. Vasilieva E.V., Kamanina A.N. (2023). Shortage of IT specialists in Russia at the present stage: causes and ways of overcoming it. Discussion. No. 2(117), pp. 108–118. (in Rus.)

19. Yanik A.A., Popova S.M., et al. (2023). Regional labor markets in Russia under new conditions:

20. problems and oportunities to break out of the «development rut». DEMIS. Demographic studies. Vol. 3, No.4, P. 165–182.

21. Zakharov D.K., Kashtanova E.V., et al. (2023). The Russian labor market under economic sanctions. Human Resource Management and Intellectual Resources in Russia. Vol. 12, No.4, P. 13–17.


Review

For citations:


Zinchenko Ya.G., Zmiyak S.S., Ponamarev A.B., Ponedelkov A.V. Forecasts of regional labor markets development in the narratives of specialists of employment centers of the Rostov Region and the reunified territories of the Russian Federation. Communicology. 2025;13(3):130-140. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10/21453/2311-3085-2025013-3-130-140

Views: 2


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2311-3065 (Print)
ISSN 2311-3332 (Online)